The 30 Day Challenge: Learn How to Bet Smarter Using One Simple Technique

30 Day Challenge

Creating a new positive habit can take anywhere from a few days to a few months.

It all depends on the individual and how easy or hard it is for that person to condition themselves to follow through with the positive habit on a daily basis.

As a child you may have been resistant to brushing your teeth twice a day but as you got older it hopefully has become second nature to do so.

That would be an example of an easy to form positive habit.

On the other hand eating healthy and exercising are often hard to form positive habits.

While many people have the intention of getting in better physical shape at the start of every new year most do not stick with the program very long.

The proof of this is very easy to see as all you need to do is monitor the number of people in your local gym in January, February and so on.

January will be the peak and each month after the number will fall until the only people there are the regulars.

This is an example of a hard to form positive habit.

Both of these examples are generalizations as there may very well be some that never brush their teeth twice a day or even once a day.

Likewise there may be some that start eating right and exercising and quickly establish a routine that sticks for life.

This reinforces the point that forming a positive habit is very individualized and there is no magic formula to determine how long it will take for you or me.

With that said I want to propose a challenge to you, one that I know will positively impact you as a horse player.

For some it will be very easy, for others very hard and for most somewhere in between the two extremes.

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Belmont Stakes Card 2016: Key Horses and Live Longshots

There is no Triple Crown on the line this year but there is a fantastic set of races to handicap and bet on the Belmont Stakes card.

Exaggerator and Flintshire head the star-studded cast of horses coming from all over the United States, from Canada and Europe and a few returning for the first time since a trip to Dubai.

There will be many opportunities to make a few bucks throughout the card.

Following are the horses I labeled as keys in both vertical and horizontal sequences and some live longshots that are worth a second look.

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2016 Preakness: Handicapping in the Rain

2016 Preakness at Pimlico

The sky might be clear when the field for the 141st Preakness Stakes takes the track but it is very likely they will be racing over a wet track.

Rain is forecasted to fall from early morning until late afternoon, which means the main track and turf course will be saturated.

The stakes races will surely be kept on the turf but the supporting races may be moved to the main track.

With so much uncertainty the only way to prepare is to have two plans.

Plan A will be for the likely wet scenario and Plan B will be for the very unlikely dry scenario.

As I did when putting together my guide to Canterbury Park I looked at the past three meets (plus the few days they have raced this year) at Pimlico.

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Canterbury Park: A Guide to the Lowest Takeout Meet of the Year

Canterbury Park Lower Takeout

Canterbury Park made headlines this spring when it was announced the track would be offering the lowest overall takeout of any track in North America during its 2016 meet, which runs from May 20th to September 17th.

The takeout rate structure is simple: 15% on Win, Place and Show pools and 18% on everything else.

In addition to this player friendly change the management at Canterbury Park showed a willingness to listen to the horse player community by quickly nixing a jackpot Pick 5.

These changes have boosted Canterbury Park in the annual HANA track ratings for 2016 from 29th all the up to 6th.

Canterbury Park, like Kentucky Downs, has decided to put their customers first and has provided us (horse players) with the opportunity to show the entire horse racing industry that takeout rates matter.

This could be the tipping point that determines whether takeout rates stay the same or decrease in the coming years.

It is our responsibility to support tracks that put the horse player first.

I know that you may have rarely, if ever bet Canterbury Park so I looked at the past three meets (2013 – 2015) and complied the information I think will help you (and me) succeed when betting their races this year.

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Handicapping the 2016 Kentucky Derby

The Kentucky Derby will once again have a full field as many optimistic owners and trainers send forth horses that have no business running in the most important race for three year old colts in North America.

It is their right to do so if their horse meets the qualifying parameters but it adds another level of complexity to an already complex race.

If the goal of the Kentucky Derby was to crown the best three year old the field would be limited to the 12 or 14 top horses.

That is part of the goal but the other part is to maximize the wagering handle on the race and the supporting races because the Kentucky Derby card along with the Kentucky Oaks card comprise the majority of the annual wagering handle at Churchill Downs.

This is the hand we are dealt so let’s get to work.

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Finding Value at the 2016 Kentucky Derby

The Kentucky DerbyIn the five plus year existence of this website every post has been my own.

Today the streak comes to an end as the following is the first (of what I hope to be many) guest post by a fellow horse player.

Before diving into the meat of the topic let me introduce you to the guest poster so you can get an idea of the experience behind the thoughts presented below.

As for my name, you can call me “The Shadow” maybe after reading the rest of my bio, it will become more clear as to why.

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OptixEQ: The Future of Handicapping is Here

OptixEQHandicapping and betting on horse racing is not only the ultimate game of skill it is an information game as well.

The player with a piece of information that no one else has or few have has a distinct edge on his/her competition.

It is for that reason that I am always seeking out new sources of information and experimenting with any new handicapping tool that comes along.

About a year ago my handicapping arsenal consisted of DRF Formulator, TimeformUS and my own personal tools: Turf Burst and Turn Burst.

I was comfortable with that suite of tools and was doing pretty well in both cash betting and handicapping contest play.

Not long after I received an email from a fellow horse player that I greatly respect with an offer to be a beta tester for a new suite of horse racing tools.

Of course I agreed and over the course of the next few months I integrated those tools into my normal handicapping routine.

Along the way we did numerous live webinars with the team behind the tools as well as the other beta testers.

Those were invaluable as not only did I receive guidance on how to maximize my profits using the tools but I was also able to walk through countless races with a serious group of horse players.

For lack of a better term they were mastermind sessions and I learned more in those sessions than I had over the course of the last five years.

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